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lundi, juillet 5 2021

[Pdf/ePub] Statistical Rethinking: A Bayesian Course with Examples in R and STAN / Edition 2 by Richard McElreath download ebook

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  • Richard McElreath
  • Page: 616
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  • Publisher: Taylor & Francis

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Statistical Rethinking: A Bayesian Course with Examples in R and Stan builds readers’ knowledge of and confidence in statistical modeling. Reflecting the need for even minor programming in today’s model-based statistics, the book pushes readers to perform step-by-step calculations that are usually automated. This unique computational approach ensures that readers understand enough of the details to make reasonable choices and interpretations in their own modeling work. The text presents generalized linear multilevel models from a Bayesian perspective, relying on a simple logical interpretation of Bayesian probability and maximum entropy. It covers from the basics of regression to multilevel models. The author also discusses measurement error, missing data, and Gaussian process models for spatial and network autocorrelation. By using complete R code examples throughout, this book provides a practical foundation for performing statistical inference. Designed for both PhD students and seasoned professionals in the natural and social sciences, it prepares them for more advanced or specialized statistical modeling. Web Resource The book is accompanied by an R package (rethinking) that is available on the author’s website and GitHub. The two core functions (map and map2stan) of this package allow a variety of statistical models to be constructed from standard model formulas.



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{pdf download} The Library of Ever

The Library of Ever by Zeno Alexander

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  • Zeno Alexander
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Named a best book of the year by Kirkus Reviews, The Library of Ever is an instant classic for middle grade readers and booklovers everywhere—an adventure across time and space, as a young girl becomes a warrior for the forces of knowledge. With her parents off traveling the globe, Lenora is bored, bored, bored—until she discovers a secret doorway into the ultimate library. Mazelike and reality-bending, the library contains all the universe’s wisdom. Every book ever written, and every fact ever known, can be found within its walls. And Lenora becomes its newly appointed Fourth Assistant Apprentice Librarian. She rockets to the stars, travels to a future filled with robots, and faces down a dark nothingness that wants to destroy all knowledge. To save the library, Lenora will have to test her limits and uncover secrets hidden among its shelves. An Imprint Book An Amazon Best Book of the Month One of Kirkus Reviews’ Best Books of the Year “Unusually clever.” —Kirkus Reviews, starred review “Zeno Alexander's The Library of Ever reads like someone mixed Neil Gaiman with Chris Grabenstein, then threw in an extra dash of charm. Reading it is like getting lost in an entire library full of books, and never wanting to leave!” —James Riley, New York Times bestselling author of the Story Thieves series “Full of whimsy and pluck, The Library of Ever is a total delight!” —Wendy Mass, New York Times bestselling author



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  • Neal Stephenson
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samedi, juillet 3 2021

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The Shores Beyond Time by Kevin Emerson

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  • Kevin Emerson
  • Page: 512
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  • ISBN: 9780062306784
  • Publisher: HarperCollins US

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The conclusion to Kevin Emerson’s epic, which Tui Sutherland, New York Times bestselling author of the Wings of Fire series, has called “perfect science fiction.” It is Earth year 2256—but the fate of the few who even remember Earth is perilously in doubt. Mina Saunders-Chang and many of the surviving humans are stranded in the Centauri system, having barely survived their confrontation with the Telphon refugees. Now everyone—human and Telphon alike—is caught in the blast zone of the Centauri supernova. And yet there’s only one question Mina is asking: Where are Liam and Phoebe? Having barely made it through the battle at the Centauri system with their lives, Liam and Phoebe awake on a mysterious ship in the middle of a dead universe. The ship bears the markings of a human starliner that disappeared decades ago—but even more disturbing than that is the massive alien machine floating in the starless space before them. A machine long abandoned but now showing signs of life. A machine that has begun speaking to Liam in a voice only he can hear. . . .

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dimanche, juin 27 2021

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Quantum Computing for Everyone. Chris Bernhardt

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dimanche, juin 20 2021

{pdf descargar} ELS ANYS

ELS ANYS de ANNIE ERNAUX

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  • ANNIE ERNAUX
  • Número de páginas: 224
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A Els anys, Annie Ernaux construeix una narració personalíssima de sis dècades de la seva vida: dona veu a objectes, cançons, titulars de notícies o anuncis de cada moment històric, intercalant-hi textos del seu diari o la descripció de fotografies familiars. Crea, així, un model singular d'autobiografia, alhora subjectiva i impersonal, alhora privada i col·lectiva, amb un estil tan apassionat com aparentment objectiu. De fet, el fluir del temps és el gran personatge del llibre, en el qual totes les veus, imatges i fets conflueixen, brillen, passen i es dilueixen sense remissió. Considerat un clàssic contemporani des de la seva publicació, Els anys ha constituït un enorme èxit literari i de vendes a França. Els anys ha guanyat els premis Marguerite Duras, Acadèmia Francesa, Lectors de Télégramme i Strega Europeu. Ha estat finalista del Man Booker Internacional. Ernaux ha merescut els premis Marguerite Yourcenar, Llengua Francesa i Formentor 2019 per la seva trajectòria literària. «Sense discussió, un dels pocs grans llibres de la literatura contemporània.» -Emmanuel Carrère «La lectura d'Els anys és com obrir la caixa d'un tresor.» -Los Angeles Review of Books «Els anys és una revolució, no sols en l'art de l'autobiografia sinó en el propi art.» -John Banville «Un dels millors llibres que llegiràs mai.» -D...

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  • EMILIO J. MOLINA CAZORLA
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LAS PSEUDOTERAPIAS es un libro del autor Molina Cazorla, Emilio J. editado por POPULAR. LAS PSEUDOTERAPIAS tiene un código de ISBN 978-84-7884-783-9, de la colección QUE SABES DE....

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LACTIVISTA de IBONE OLZA

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  • IBONE OLZA
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Lactivista es una obra recopilatoria de diferentes artículos de la Dra. Ibone Olza en torno a la lactancia materna. Algunos de ellos han sido publicados en su blog, mientras que otros están viendo la luz por primera vez en este libro. Además, presenta los resultados de las revisiones actualizadas de los estudios científicos más destacados a nivel internacional sobre lactancia materna: existen indicios científicos suficientes que aseveran que la oxitocina sintética intraparto afecta severamente a la lactancia, tanto en la madre como en el bebé; y otros estudios confirman que los beneficios de la lactancia son mayores cuanto más dura la lactancia: a más duración, más salud (también a largo plazo), más empatía y más inteligencia.

No he encontrado ningún estudio riguroso que demuestre los perjuicios de la lactancia prolongada. Todo lo contrario. Los estudios científicos más rigurosos confirman que los beneficios de la lactancia son mayores cuanto más dura la lactancia. A más teta, más defensas, más salud, más empatía y más inteligencia... Porque nombrar la evidencia científica no es culpabilizar.

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  • Kimmy Schmidt, Sarah Mlynowski
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[PDF] The Cambridge History of the Cold War (Volume 1) by Melvyn P. Leffler, Odd Arne Westad

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  • Melvyn P. Leffler, Odd Arne Westad
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HISTORY OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS 9 credits Teacher The Cambridge History of the Cold War, Volume I: Origins (eds M. Leffler and O.A. Westad), chapters 1 and 2 (O.A. Westad, The Cold War and the international   On Power: The Independent Institute | U. S. History | Cold War The sheer volume of Cold War materiel required by the government distorted Doenecke, Justus D. Anti-Intervention: A Bibliographical Introduction to Isolationism and Pacifism from World War I to the Early Cold War. Cambridge, Mass. Cambridge history - free eBooks download - GoBookee.net 2011 H- Diplo. The Cambridge History of the Cold War. Vol. I Origins. New York: Cambridge University Press, April 2010. 664 pp. 40 b/w illus. 6 maps. ISBN . A Critical Evaluation of Mikhail Gorbachev's Role in Ending the Cold Although Gorbachev's merit in ending the Cold War has been eroded by new evidence, it was his skillful The Cambridge History of the Cold War, Vol. Tolz, V. (1995) 'The Impact of Glasnost', in Tolz, V., Elliot, I. (eds.)  H-Diplo Roundtables, Vol. XII, No. 8 (2011) - H-Net Melvyn P. Leffler and Odd Arne Westad, eds. The Cambridge History of the Cold War. Vol. I. Origins. New York: Cambridge University Press,  Trachtenberg c.v. - Social Sciences Division - UCLA The links can be found in the H-Diplo roundtable list (link) under volume 1, no. 5. The Cold War and After: History, Theory, and the Logic of International Politics . Cambridge , UK : German History Institute, Washington, and Cambridge  Cambridge History of the Cold War - Books at IDEAS - Publications Volume I: Origins, 1945-1962. This volume examines the origins, causes and early years of the Cold War. Leading scholars show how the  Teaching Cold War History at New York University - Fulbright In 2001-2002, I was a Center Fellow at the Project on the Cold War . 3 volume text, The Cambridge History of the. Cold War. The last version of my chapter. The Cambridge History of the Cold War (3 Volume - Barnes & Noble The Cambridge History of the Cold War (3 Volume Hardback Set). by; Melvyn P. Leffler Usually ships in 1-2 business days. (Save 25%) The Cambridge History of the Cold War (Volume 1): Melvyn P The Cambridge History of the Cold War (Volume 1) [Melvyn P. Leffler, Odd Arne Westad] on Amazon.com. *FREE* super saver shipping on qualifying offers. POLS5129 (PDF) - School of Social Sciences Leffler and Odd Arne Westad (eds), The Cambridge History of the Cold War: The Origins vol.1 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2010), pp. 67-89  The Cambridge History of the Cold War 3 Volume Hardback Set (豆瓣) 图书The Cambridge History of the Cold War 3 Volume Hardback Set 介绍、书评、 论坛及推荐. 历史(3) 电子书(1) 外交史(1) 国际关系(1) 冷战(1). 我来写笔记. Divided Dreamworlds? The Cultural Cold War in East and West The 'dreamworlds' of East and West were never completely divided.1 We all have Traditionally, the history of the Cold War has often been described in terms of strict .. of the Cold War (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2010), 3 vol. Melvyn P. Leffler and Odd Arne Westad, Eds., the Cambridge History details about "Melvyn P. Leffler and Odd Arne Westad, Eds., the Cambridge History of the Cold War" by Muller, Tim B. - Kritika, Vol. 14, Issue 1, Winter 2013.

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The Story of Barack Obama: A Biography Book for New Readers. Tonya Leslie

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vendredi, juin 18 2021

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  • Brenda Kunneman
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  • Format: pdf, ePub, mobi, fb2
  • ISBN: 9780768447897
  • Publisher: Destiny Image, Inc.

The Daily Decree: Bringing Your Day Into Alignment with God's Prophetic Destiny




Free downloadable french audio books The Daily Decree: Bringing Your Day Into Alignment with God's Prophetic Destiny

Overview

Proclaim the words of the Lord!   There are words from Heaven that the King of kings wants you to decree! Like Jesus, believers must listen for the Father’s voice and declare what He has spoken. When you boldly decree God’s word, your words are saturated in the supernatural life and creative power of the Kingdom!   Respected prophetic voice Brenda Kunneman has compiled a series of powerful decrees that were birthed in the heart of God, shared with her, and now imparted to you. These legal decrees will empower you with tools to overcome impossibilities, position you for new levels of blessing, and prepare you for supernatural encounters.   In the Daily Decree, you will receive: Confessions that release blessing: Decrees backed by Scripture that you can confess boldly! Declarations that unlock breakthrough: Prophetic words that will help you overcome specific adversities of life. Proclamations that unleash destiny: Points of agreement between you and God, that allow you to prophetically announce what He is saying about your life and future.  Declare the words of the King, and claim His promises today!



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[Kindle] The 117-Story Treehouse download

The 117-Story Treehouse. Andy Griffiths, Terry Denton

The 117-Story Treehouse


The-117-Story-Treehouse.pdf
ISBN: 9781250317209 | 384 pages | 10 Mb

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  • The 117-Story Treehouse
  • Andy Griffiths, Terry Denton
  • Page: 384
  • Format: pdf, ePub, fb2, mobi
  • ISBN: 9781250317209
  • Publisher: Feiwel & Friends
Download The 117-Story Treehouse


Amazon kindle e-BookStore The 117-Story Treehouse English version by Andy Griffiths, Terry Denton 9781250317209

Overview

New York Times-bestselling team Andy Griffiths and Terry Denton invite readers to come hang out with them in their 117-Story Treehouse—the ninth book in the illustrated chapter book series filled with Andy and Terry's signature slapstick humor! Andy and Terry live in a 117-story treehouse. (It used to be a 104-story treehouse, but it just keeps growing!) It now has a pajama-party room, a water-ski park filled with flesh-eating piranhas, an Underpants Museum, a giant-fighting-robot arena, and the Door of Doom (don’t open it or you’ll be COMPLETELY and UTTERLY DOOMED!). For as long as Andy and Terry have been writing books together, Andy has always been the narrator and Terry has always been the illustrator. But when Terry tries to prove that he can narrate as well as draw, the story goes completely out of control and the Story Police arrive to arrest the whole treehouse team for crimes against storytelling! Andy, Terry and Jill go on the run, but how long can they evade the Story Police and stay out of Story Jail? Praise for Andy Griffiths and the Treehouse series: "Anarchic absurdity at its best. . . . Denton's manic cartooning captures every twist and turn in hilarious detail." —Publishers Weekly, starred review, on The 13-Story Treehouse "Will appeal to fans of Jeff Kinney and Dav Pilkey. . . . The wonderfully random slapstick humor is tailor-made for reluctant readers. . . . A treat for all." —Booklist on The 13-Story Treehouse Read the whole series! The 13-Story Treehouse The 26-Story Treehouse The 39-Story Treehouse The 52-Story Treehouse The 65-Story Treehouse The 78-Story Treehouse The 91-Story Treehouse The 104-Story Treehouse The 117-Story Treehouse



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